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STORMRIDER
Since 17 Jul 2007
228 Posts
Stoked
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Anthony
Since 07 Oct 2008
362 Posts
Salem
Obsessed
CGKA Member
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knotwindy
Since 25 Sep 2011
606 Posts
Addicted
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Mon Apr 06, 20 2:27 pm |
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Hey, my mind is made up, don’t confuse me with the facts
Number of cases so far in the US: ~390,000
Number of cases of H1N1 (Swine flu) 10 years ago: take guess
~61 million, don’t believe me, look it up
Also check out Farrs law of epidemics
We might have overreacted a bit _________________ curiously observing blurry patterns while slightly distracted |
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ldhr
Since 21 Jul 2009
1487 Posts
Hood River
XTreme Poster
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Mon Apr 06, 20 3:41 pm |
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Corona virus is way more deadly - the mortality rate is much higher.
H1n1 - 60.8 million cases with 12,469 deaths in the U.S.
Corona virus as of 4/6 - 364,836 with 10,801 deaths.
Summary - while H1N1 was lethal - only 12k deaths. Projections for Corona virus if we stay home - 100's of thousands die and probably more.
If we don't stay home - live normal lives - guessing that at least 60 million people would get infected with covid-19 and 3-6 million people would die in the U.S.
I don't know about you - but I'm staying home.
The reason that Oregon (and the USA) has so few deaths is because we are on lockdown and staying home.
If we relax the lockdown - people from all over the USA will flock to Oregon to kite, bike, ski, climb mt. hood, climb smith rock, fish the Deschutes, drink wine, swill beer, and pass the virus on to Oregonians (NO THANKS). Last edited by ldhr on Mon Apr 06, 20 4:11 pm; edited 3 times in total |
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Nak
Since 19 May 2005
4233 Posts
Camas
Site Lackey
CGKA Member
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Mon Apr 06, 20 3:55 pm |
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Hey some anonymous guy looked up some stuff on the internet, he MUST be right.
Seriously. As fucked up and partisan our politics has been and still is--all politicians, both the Republicans and the Democrats at fault--all of these marginally intelligent people finally agree on something. I'm tempted to take this shit seriously. Unless you think Trump, Pence, Pelosi, Schumer and Cuomo are conspiring to destroy our economy? No? Me neither. |
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eric
Since 13 Jan 2006
1831 Posts
XTreme Poster
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Mon Apr 06, 20 4:15 pm |
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^^^
"The reason that Oregon has so few deaths is because we are on lockdown and staying home."
We are "lucky" in that other states got hit much harder before us. We can see what happens if the virus runs unchecked. They were either unlucky, unprepared or did not institute stay at home in time. Looks like WA may be on the road to significant reductions in illness. Can we do this forever? No. Can we buy time now? Yes. Oregon has advanced warning. Oregon is acting IN FRONT of the wave vs being pounded into the sand by the wave. What is so difficult about this to understand?
I fail to understand why folks can't understand the implications of overwhelming hospitals. Just today they are talking about "temporarily burying the dead in Central Park" as the morgues are close to over whelmed.
I see several folks advocating for "herd immunity now. Get it over with"
Fine; you first |
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knotwindy
Since 25 Sep 2011
606 Posts
Addicted
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Mon Apr 06, 20 4:46 pm |
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Sorry, it was supposed to be a joke, as in stirring the pot in the title. It’s not like I believe any of the reports are accurate enough to go out and flail around and ignore the problem.
Even my dog knows sit & stay. _________________ curiously observing blurry patterns while slightly distracted |
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Scriffler
Since 03 Jul 2005
581 Posts
LYLE
Addicted
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bwd
Since 04 Aug 2007
385 Posts
Obsessed
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Mon Apr 06, 20 6:38 pm |
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Quote: | least 60 million people would get infected with covid-19 and 3-6 million people would die in the U.S. |
That guesstimate is even worse than the doom porn 2M+ without intervention, 100-300,000 with distancing, revised down to what, 50,000? as of yesterday, by the same doomsayers including dr bobblehead who has been an engineer on the DC gravy train for 40 years, but somehow couldn’t get Reagan, Bush 1, Clinton, Bush 2, Obama, or Trump administrations, or the last 20 Congresses, to prepare for a pandemic.
I say lay off the doom porn, stay home, stay healthy and kite again.
As an aside I an not hurrying to order any more items direct from China Hong Kong Taiwan etc. Hope I can even get new kites I actually want in the next year without a thought to the CCP or wet markets and shoddy microbio labs.
Peace and love |
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ay
Since 11 Oct 2008
111 Posts
HR - ME
Stoked
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Mon Apr 06, 20 9:41 pm |
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STAY HOME! Surprise! It helps. |
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Wind Slither
Since 04 Mar 2005
2587 Posts
The 503
METAL
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